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Data Center News > Blog > Global Market > Will water, not watts, decide how far AI can scale?
Global Market

Will water, not watts, decide how far AI can scale?

Last updated: November 7, 2025 5:31 am
Published November 7, 2025
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Will water, not watts, decide how far AI can scale?
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Rachel Bratt, Senior Marketing consultant for Local weather Danger at EcoAct (a part of Schneider Electrical), argues that hidden water stress is quick changing into the gating issue for digital infrastructure development, as she explains

AI could also be intangible, however its infrastructure is something however. Behind each AI-generated response or information perception lies a community of hyperscale information centres. These are huge bodily property that eat huge quantities of electrical energy and water. As demand for AI skyrockets, so too does the pressure on native water techniques that maintain and funky these tremendous machines.

Water danger, lengthy the undercurrent in sustainability conversations, is transferring to the forefront. That is particularly obvious in firms scaling digital capabilities or reliant on always-on operations. From server rooms in drought-prone areas to co-location websites weak to grid instability, the age of AI can be the age of water stress.

The price of water hides its danger

One of many predominant elements that has obscured water danger is that it’s usually underpriced. Many company techniques document it as a utility value, not as a variable that might materially disrupt operations – a misclassification that renders water danger successfully invisible in most budgeting, procurement and danger administration processes.

Most organisations measure what they use straight. Nevertheless, only a few think about how a lot water is required to energy their servers, course of their inputs, or hold their suppliers working. Even fewer perceive what occurs if that water modifications in high quality: if it arrives hotter, extra saline, or extra contaminated. These shifts can impair tools, drive shutdowns and degrade processing environments, but usually are not mirrored in typical danger fashions.

Nowhere is that this blind spot extra apparent than digital infrastructure. A single 1MW information centre can use over 25 million litres of water yearly, and as AI adoption accelerates, international water withdrawal for AI workloads is predicted to succeed in 1.7 trillion gallons each year by 2027 – greater than 4 occasions Denmark’s annual consumption. But regardless of this trajectory, water stays largely absent in boardroom agendas – a danger that might shortly undermine the very techniques driving future development.

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Water danger, funding and revenue

In some sectors, water stress is more and more a gating think about operational enlargement. For instance, information centre website choice more and more accounts for water availability. Industrial planning should think about drought danger and public opposition to water abstraction. Infrastructure approvals are tightening. Entry to permits is changing into contingent on exhibiting credible water administration methods. Funding selections are being challenged by regulators and communities primarily based on long-term water availability. 

In excessive stakes digital environments, even just a few hours of downtime on account of water shortages or cooling disruptions can have huge penalties – from information loss and productiveness hits to buyer complaints and contractual penalties.

The monetary indicators are flashing. Even when international temperature will increase are restricted to 1.5°C above pre-industrial ranges, 31% of worldwide GDP ($70 trillion) will probably be uncovered to excessive water-stress. The enterprise case for motion is now not hypothetical. It’s a query of when water stress impacts your operations, not if.

Even when water stress just isn’t financially materials to a enterprise’ operations, there are reputational and regulatory dangers related to water stress. Disclosure expectations are shifting from basic ESG statements to site-specific, model-backed danger information. Frameworks comparable to TNFD and SBTN are accelerating uptake of watershed-level evaluation. Mandates from CSRD and CDP are pushing firms to exhibit state of affairs resilience and clear danger governance. This shift is elevating the bar from consciousness to accountability.

The hidden water value of power and AI

Efficient water danger evaluation requires greater than monitoring consumption. It calls for an understanding of two dimensions: bodily publicity and operational vulnerability.

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Publicity is formed by geography and local weather. It displays the place property are situated, how burdened these water techniques are at this time, and the way local weather modelling suggests that may change over time. Vulnerability relies on the position water performs in an operation, whether or not a website can proceed with out it, how infrastructure is configured, and whether or not options or mitigation choices exist.

AI adoption provides new complexity. Most firms chasing digital transformation haven’t recalibrated for the water depth of recent workloads. With out entry to resilient water provide and efficient wastewater methods, high-performance computing turns into a legal responsibility.

Each watt consumed by an AI server have to be generated, transmitted and cooled, usually by way of water-intensive techniques. And but conventional water metrics barely register this dependency. A enterprise could really feel safe as a result of it lacks bodily manufacturing websites, but when its information centre sits atop a strained aquifer or depends on a fragile cooling loop, its publicity stays excessive.

Many metrics focus solely on quantity, ignoring seasonality, contamination or the chance of infrastructure failure. New modelling instruments together with satellite tv for pc imaging, sub-basin local weather fashions, and catchment-level forecasting are providing extra granular views of publicity. These instruments provide a stage of perception that has not beforehand been obtainable, though uptake has been gradual.

The place firms get it fallacious and what CXOs can do now

Getting forward of water danger means taking proactive, measurable steps earlier than disruption hits. The hole between notion and actuality is rising. The businesses that catch up first can have extra room to behave. Those that wait could have fewer choices and better prices.

For leaders searching for to strengthen organisational resilience, a number of steps can assist translate consciousness into motion:

1. Map localised publicity throughout operations and provide chains 

Concentrate on high-stress geographies and capabilities with elevated dependency, comparable to cooling, processing, and cleansing. Transcend direct consumption, assess the place your operations, notably digital infrastructure, depend on water intensive providers. Use water footprinting and catchment-level evaluation to grasp context and danger focus

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2. Combine water into enterprise danger and funding planning 

Embed water danger in ERM, enterprise continuity and CapEx selections. Mannequin how stress may have an effect on asset viability or sourcing flexibility.

3. Undertake risk-based efficiency KPIs

Observe metrics like reuse ratios, withdrawal depth in burdened areas, discharge high quality, and adaptation prices – not simply whole utilization.

4. Perceive upstream and downstream publicity 

Your vulnerability could sit together with your suppliers, infrastructure hosts or logistics companions. Interact them early.

5. Collaborate on the watershed stage 

Water resilience requires collaboration. Firms can work with friends, native governments, and civil society to co-develop adaptive methods and put money into basin-wide stewardship.

Reframing water: from compliance difficulty to strategic lever

Water sits on the intersection of environmental danger and monetary publicity. It impacts operational continuity, long-term asset worth, and the flexibility to develop in a resource-constrained world. For AI-native companies, it’s now not only a local weather consideration however a crucial infrastructure dependency.

The price of inaction is rising. In a world of constrained provide and rising expectations, management groups that embed water danger into core planning at this time will probably be much better positioned to navigate tomorrow’s shocks. In sustainability, we frequently discuss materiality. With water, the materiality is now not in query.

The one query is whether or not enterprise leaders will reply, not simply in coverage however in observe. 

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Contents
The price of water hides its dangerWater danger, funding and revenueThe hidden water value of power and AIThe place firms get it fallacious and what CXOs can do nowReframing water: from compliance difficulty to strategic lever
TAGGED: Decide, scale, water, watts
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